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Match predictions

Morecambe vs Chester Prediction

FA Cup · Sat, Oct 11 - 17:00

Updated Thu, Aug 6, 2026 00:00 EAT
FA Cup logo FA Cup Lost
Morecambe Morecambe logo
1-1
Chester logo Chester
FULL-TIME 3RD ROUND QUALIFYING The Mazuma Stadium
121%Home X27%Draw 253%Away
Match Centre Confidence 53%
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Prediction summary

Morecambe vs Chester key facts

Primary tipChester to Win
Predicted score1-2
Kick-offSat, Oct 11 - 17:00
Confidence53%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Morecambe have won 0 of their last 2 recorded matches, while Chester have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Morecambe a 4% home win trend and Chester a 33% away win trend. Morecambe average 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chester at 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Morecambe 0 wins, Chester 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 21% home, 27% draw and 53% away, making Chester to Win the preferred tip at 53% confidence.

Match forecast

Chester to Win

Lost
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 53% ★★★☆☆
Morecambe Win21%
Draw27%
Chester Win53%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 73% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 53% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Morecambe formL D1 points from last five
Chester formL W D W W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength4% / 33%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.50 - 2.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Morecambe have won 0 of their last 2 recorded matches, while Chester have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Morecambe a 4% home win trend and Chester a 33% away win trend. Morecambe average 0.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Chester at 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Morecambe 0 wins, Chester 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 21% home, 27% draw and 53% away, making Chester to Win the preferred tip at 53% confidence.

Morecambe 0 wins, Chester 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Morecambe vs Chester questions

What is the Morecambe vs Chester prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Chester to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 53% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Morecambe are rated at 21%, the draw at 27%, and Chester at 53%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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