Chester vs Morecambe Prediction

Prediction summary

Chester vs Morecambe key facts

Primary tipChester to Win

Predicted score2-1

Kick-offTue, Oct 14 - 21:45

Confidence65%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Chester have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Morecambe have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Chester a 90% home win trend and Morecambe a 4% away win trend. Chester average 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Morecambe at 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Chester 1 wins, Morecambe 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 65% home, 21% draw and 14% away, making Chester to Win the preferred tip at 65% confidence.

Open Chester vs Morecambe Match Centre Browse all football predictions

Match forecast

Chester to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: High · 65% ★★★★☆

Chester Win65%

Draw21%

Morecambe Win14%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Chester to Win 65% model probability

Double Chance 1X 86% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% model probability

Correct Score 2-1 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Chester Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet Chester clean sheet possible Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 73% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: No · Lost

Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-0 · Lost

Model Confidence High 65% Final score: 2-0

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Chester formL W D W W10 points from last five

Morecambe formL D1 points from last five

Home/Away strength90% / 4%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile2.00 - 0.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Chester have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Morecambe have won 0 of their last 2. The available home/away sample gives Chester a 90% home win trend and Morecambe a 4% away win trend. Chester average 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Morecambe at 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Chester 1 wins, Morecambe 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 65% home, 21% draw and 14% away, making Chester to Win the preferred tip at 65% confidence.

Chester 1 wins, Morecambe 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Chester vs Morecambe questions

What is the Chester vs Morecambe prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Chester to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 65% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Chester are rated at 65%, the draw at 21%, and Morecambe at 14%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.