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Match predictions

Portsmouth vs Arsenal Prediction

FA Cup · Sun, Jan 11 - 17:00

FA Cup logo FA Cup Won
Portsmouth Portsmouth logo
1-4
Arsenal logo Arsenal
FULL-TIME ROUND OF 64 Fratton Park
133%Home X20%Draw 247%Away
Match Centre Confidence 47%
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Match forecast

Arsenal to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 47% ★★☆☆☆
Portsmouth Win33%
Draw20%
Arsenal Win47%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-4 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 47% Final score: 1-4
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Portsmouth formD W L W W10 points from last five
Arsenal formD W W W W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.20Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Portsmouth a 30% home win trend and Arsenal a 50% away win trend. Portsmouth average 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Arsenal at 1.20 scored and 0.50 conceded. Portsmouth 0 wins, Arsenal 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 33% home, 20% draw and 47% away, making Arsenal to Win the preferred tip at 47% confidence.

Portsmouth 0 wins, Arsenal 1 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-4 · Outcome: Away Win

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