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Match predictions

Port Vale vs Sunderland Prediction

FA Cup · Sun, Mar 8 - 16:30

FA Cup logo FA Cup Won
Port Vale Port Vale logo
1-0
Sunderland logo Sunderland
FULL-TIME ROUND OF 16 Vale Park
154%Home X18%Draw 228%Away
Match Centre Confidence 54%
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Match forecast

Port Vale to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 54% ★★★☆☆
Port Vale Win54%
Draw18%
Sunderland Win28%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 61% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 33% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 54% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Port Vale formL W W W W12 points from last five
Sunderland formW W D D L8 points from last five
Home/Away strength83% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.22 - 1.20Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Port Vale have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Sunderland have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Port Vale a 83% home win trend and Sunderland a 40% away win trend. Port Vale average 1.22 goals scored and 1.11 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Sunderland at 1.20 scored and 1.50 conceded. Port Vale 1 wins, Sunderland 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 18% draw and 28% away, making Port Vale to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.

Port Vale 1 wins, Sunderland 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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