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Match predictions

Chelsea vs Port Vale Prediction

FA Cup · Sat, Apr 4 - 19:15

FA Cup logo FA Cup Lost
Chelsea Chelsea logo
7-0
Port Vale logo Port Vale
FULL-TIME QUARTER-FINALS Stamford Bridge
131%Home X23%Draw 246%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
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Match forecast

Port Vale to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
Chelsea Win31%
Draw23%
Port Vale Win46%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 7 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 28% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 7-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 7-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Chelsea formL W L D L4 points from last five
Port Vale formL W W W W12 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 67%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.22Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Port Vale have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Chelsea a 30% home win trend and Port Vale a 67% away win trend. Chelsea average 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Port Vale at 1.22 scored and 1.11 conceded. Chelsea 1 wins, Port Vale 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 31% home, 23% draw and 46% away, making Port Vale to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.

Chelsea 1 wins, Port Vale 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 7-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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