Southampton vs Arsenal Prediction
FA Cup · Sat, Apr 4 - 22:00
Updated Sun, Jul 26, 2026 00:00 EATSouthampton vs Arsenal key facts
Southampton have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Southampton a 60% home win trend and Arsenal a 50% away win trend. Southampton average 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Arsenal at 1.20 scored and 0.50 conceded. Southampton 1 wins, Arsenal 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. Player-form data gives Southampton an average top-player rating of 6.79 with 15 latest goal involvements, compared with Arsenal at 7.30 rating and 39 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 21% draw and 39% away, making Southampton to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.
Southampton to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Southampton have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arsenal have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Southampton a 60% home win trend and Arsenal a 50% away win trend. Southampton average 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Arsenal at 1.20 scored and 0.50 conceded. Southampton 1 wins, Arsenal 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings. Player-form data gives Southampton an average top-player rating of 6.79 with 15 latest goal involvements, compared with Arsenal at 7.30 rating and 39 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 21% draw and 39% away, making Southampton to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.
Southampton 1 wins, Arsenal 0 wins, 0 draws in last 1 meetings.Won
Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win
Southampton vs Arsenal questions
What is the Southampton vs Arsenal prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Southampton to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 40% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Southampton are rated at 40%, the draw at 21%, and Arsenal at 39%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.