Chelsea vs Leeds Prediction
FA Cup · Sun, Apr 26 - 17:00
Updated Sun, Jul 26, 2026 00:00 EAT
FA Cup
Won
Leeds
Chelsea vs Leeds key facts
Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Leeds have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Chelsea a 30% home win trend and Leeds a 10% away win trend. Chelsea average 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Leeds at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Chelsea 1 wins, Leeds 1 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings. Player-form data gives Chelsea an average top-player rating of 7.60 with 57 latest goal involvements, compared with Leeds at 7.09 rating and 14 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 29% draw and 34% away, making Chelsea to Win the preferred tip at 37% confidence.
Chelsea to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Leeds have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Chelsea a 30% home win trend and Leeds a 10% away win trend. Chelsea average 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Leeds at 1.40 scored and 1.10 conceded. Chelsea 1 wins, Leeds 1 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings. Player-form data gives Chelsea an average top-player rating of 7.60 with 57 latest goal involvements, compared with Leeds at 7.09 rating and 14 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 29% draw and 34% away, making Chelsea to Win the preferred tip at 37% confidence.
Chelsea 1 wins, Leeds 1 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings.Won
Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win
Chelsea vs Leeds questions
What is the Chelsea vs Leeds prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Chelsea to Win with a predicted score of 3-0 and 37% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Chelsea are rated at 37%, the draw at 29%, and Leeds at 34%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.