Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction
FA Cup · Sat, May 16 - 17:00
Updated Sun, Jul 26, 2026 00:00 EAT
FA Cup
Won
Manchester City
Chelsea vs Manchester City key facts
Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Chelsea a 30% home win trend and Manchester City a 60% away win trend. Chelsea average 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester City at 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Chelsea 0 wins, Manchester City 2 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings. Player-form data gives Chelsea an average top-player rating of 7.60 with 57 latest goal involvements, compared with Manchester City at 7.40 rating and 54 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 29% home, 22% draw and 49% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 49% confidence.
Manchester City to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Chelsea have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Chelsea a 30% home win trend and Manchester City a 60% away win trend. Chelsea average 1.30 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Manchester City at 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Chelsea 0 wins, Manchester City 2 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings. Player-form data gives Chelsea an average top-player rating of 7.60 with 57 latest goal involvements, compared with Manchester City at 7.40 rating and 54 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 29% home, 22% draw and 49% away, making Manchester City to Win the preferred tip at 49% confidence.
Chelsea 0 wins, Manchester City 2 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings.Won
Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win
Chelsea vs Manchester City questions
What is the Chelsea vs Manchester City prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Manchester City to Win with a predicted score of 0-3 and 49% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Chelsea are rated at 29%, the draw at 22%, and Manchester City at 49%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.