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Match predictions

Birmingham vs Oxford United Prediction

Championship · Sat, Aug 23 - 17:00

Championship logo Championship Won
Birmingham Birmingham logo
1-0
Oxford United logo Oxford United
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 3 St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
153%Home X22%Draw 225%Away
Match Centre Confidence 53%
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Match forecast

Birmingham to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 53% ★★★☆☆
Birmingham Win53%
Draw22%
Oxford United Win25%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 58% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 53% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Birmingham formD W W D W11 points from last five
Oxford United formL W L L W6 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 1.10Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Birmingham have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Oxford United have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Birmingham a 50% home win trend and Oxford United a 20% away win trend. Birmingham average 1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Oxford United at 1.10 scored and 1.10 conceded. Birmingham 2 wins, Oxford United 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 53% home, 22% draw and 25% away, making Birmingham to Win the preferred tip at 53% confidence.

Birmingham 2 wins, Oxford United 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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