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Match predictions

West Brom vs Derby Prediction

Championship · Sat, Sep 13 - 17:00

Championship logo Championship Lost
West Brom logo West Brom
vs
Derby logo Derby
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 5 The Hawthorns
140%Home X26%Draw 234%Away
Match Centre Confidence 40%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

West Brom to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 40% ★★☆☆☆
West Brom Win40%
Draw26%
Derby Win34%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 60% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 40% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

West Brom formL D W W D8 points from last five
Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

West Brom have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives West Brom a 20% home win trend and Derby a 40% away win trend. West Brom average 1.30 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. West Brom 0 wins, Derby 1 wins, 2 draws in last 3 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 26% draw and 34% away, making West Brom to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.

West Brom 0 wins, Derby 1 wins, 2 draws in last 3 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

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