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Match predictions

Derby vs Preston Prediction

Championship · Sat, Sep 20 - 17:00

Championship logo Championship Lost
Derby Derby logo
0-1
Preston logo Preston
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 6 Pride Park Stadium
146%Home X26%Draw 228%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
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Match forecast

Derby to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
Derby Win46%
Draw26%
Preston Win28%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 68% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five
Preston formL W L L W6 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Preston have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Preston a 20% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Preston at 1.30 scored and 1.90 conceded. Derby 1 wins, Preston 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 46% home, 26% draw and 28% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.

Derby 1 wins, Preston 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

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