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Match predictions

Millwall vs Watford Prediction

Championship · Mon, Sep 22 - 22:00

Championship logo Championship Won
Millwall Millwall logo
1-0
Watford logo Watford
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 6 The Den
164%Home X25%Draw 210%Away
Match Centre Confidence 64%
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Match forecast

Millwall to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: High · 64% ★★★★☆
Millwall Win64%
Draw25%
Watford Win10%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 66% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence High 64% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Millwall formL D W D W8 points from last five
Watford formL L L L L0 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.20 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Millwall have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Watford have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Millwall a 50% home win trend and Watford a 10% away win trend. Millwall average 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Watford at 0.70 scored and 2.30 conceded. Millwall 2 wins, Watford 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 64% home, 25% draw and 10% away, making Millwall to Win the preferred tip at 64% confidence.

Millwall 2 wins, Watford 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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