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Match predictions

Derby vs Charlton Prediction

Championship · Tue, Sep 30 - 22:00

Championship logo Championship Lost
Derby Derby logo
1-1
Charlton logo Charlton
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 8 Pride Park Stadium
151%Home X26%Draw 223%Away
Match Centre Confidence 51%
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Match forecast

Derby to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 51% ★★★☆☆
Derby Win51%
Draw26%
Charlton Win23%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 75% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 51% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five
Charlton formL W L D L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Charlton have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Charlton a 20% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Charlton at 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Derby 1 wins, Charlton 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 51% home, 26% draw and 23% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 51% confidence.

Derby 1 wins, Charlton 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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