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Match predictions

Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Championship · Sat, Oct 4 - 17:00

Championship logo Championship Won
Portsmouth logo Portsmouth
vs
Middlesbrough logo Middlesbrough
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 9 Fratton Park
146%Home X25%Draw 229%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Portsmouth to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
Portsmouth Win46%
Draw25%
Middlesbrough Win29%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 67% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Portsmouth formD W L W W10 points from last five
Middlesbrough formL D D D W6 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Middlesbrough have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Portsmouth a 30% home win trend and Middlesbrough a 30% away win trend. Portsmouth average 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Middlesbrough at 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Portsmouth 2 wins, Middlesbrough 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 46% home, 25% draw and 29% away, making Portsmouth to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.

Portsmouth 2 wins, Middlesbrough 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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