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Match predictions

Oxford United vs Derby Prediction

Championship · Sat, Oct 18 - 14:30

Championship logo Championship Won
Oxford United logo Oxford United
vs
Derby logo Derby
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 10 Kassam Stadium
139%Home X27%Draw 234%Away
Match Centre Confidence 39%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Oxford United to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 39% ★★☆☆☆
Oxford United Win39%
Draw27%
Derby Win34%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 58% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 39% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Oxford United formL W L L W6 points from last five
Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.10 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Oxford United have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Oxford United a 40% home win trend and Derby a 40% away win trend. Oxford United average 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. Oxford United 1 wins, Derby 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 39% home, 27% draw and 34% away, making Oxford United to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.

Oxford United 1 wins, Derby 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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