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Match predictions

Derby vs QPR Prediction

Championship · Sat, Oct 25 - 17:00

Championship logo Championship Won
Derby Derby logo
1-0
QPR logo QPR
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 12 Pride Park Stadium
162%Home X21%Draw 217%Away
Match Centre Confidence 62%
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Match forecast

Derby to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Medium · 62% ★★★★☆
Derby Win62%
Draw21%
QPR Win17%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 62% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Derby formW W6 points from last five
QPR formL L L L D1 points from last five
Home/Away strength90% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Derby have won 2 of their last 2 recorded matches, while QPR have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 90% home win trend and QPR a 20% away win trend. Derby average 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with QPR at 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Derby 2 wins, QPR 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 62% home, 21% draw and 17% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 62% confidence.

Derby 2 wins, QPR 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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