Watford vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Reason for tip

Watford have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Middlesbrough have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Watford a 20% home win trend and Middlesbrough a 30% away win trend. Watford average 0.70 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Middlesbrough at 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Watford 1 wins, Middlesbrough 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 24% home, 34% draw and 42% away, making Middlesbrough to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.