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Match predictions

Sheffield Utd vs Derby Prediction

Championship · Sat, Nov 1 - 18:00

Championship logo Championship Lost
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd logo
1-3
Derby logo Derby
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 13 Bramall Lane
141%Home X26%Draw 233%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Match forecast

Sheffield Utd to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Sheffield Utd Win41%
Draw26%
Derby Win33%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 1-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Sheffield Utd formW L L W W9 points from last five
Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.50 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Sheffield Utd have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sheffield Utd a 30% home win trend and Derby a 40% away win trend. Sheffield Utd average 1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. Sheffield Utd 1 wins, Derby 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 26% draw and 33% away, making Sheffield Utd to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Sheffield Utd 1 wins, Derby 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-3 · Outcome: Away Win

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