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Match predictions

Blackburn vs Derby Prediction

Championship · Sat, Nov 8 - 15:30

Championship logo Championship Won
Blackburn Blackburn logo
1-2
Derby logo Derby
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 15 Ewood Park
130%Home X29%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Match forecast

Derby to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Blackburn Win30%
Draw29%
Derby Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 78% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 1-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Blackburn formL W D L D5 points from last five
Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.80 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Blackburn have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Blackburn a 20% home win trend and Derby a 40% away win trend. Blackburn average 0.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. Blackburn 0 wins, Derby 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 30% home, 29% draw and 41% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Blackburn 0 wins, Derby 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

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