Middlesbrough vs Birmingham Prediction

Reason for tip

Middlesbrough have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Birmingham have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Middlesbrough a 30% home win trend and Birmingham a 30% away win trend. Middlesbrough average 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Birmingham at 1.10 scored and 0.90 conceded. Middlesbrough 2 wins, Birmingham 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 38% home, 25% draw and 37% away, making Middlesbrough to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.