Match predictions

Derby vs Watford Prediction

Championship · Sat, Nov 22 - 18:00

Championship Lost

Match Centre All Predictions

Derby

2-3

Watford

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 16 Pride Park Stadium

152%Home X30%Draw 218%Away

Match Centre Confidence 52%

Match forecast

Derby to Win

Lost

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 52% ★★★☆☆

Derby Win52%

Draw30%

Watford Win18%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Derby to Win 52% model probability

Double Chance 1X 82% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 50% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Derby Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-3 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 52% Final score: 2-3

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five

Watford formL L L L L0 points from last five

Home/Away strength60% / 10%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.30 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Watford have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Watford a 10% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Watford at 0.70 scored and 2.30 conceded. Derby 0 wins, Watford 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 52% home, 30% draw and 18% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 52% confidence.

Derby 0 wins, Watford 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-3 · Outcome: Away Win

Derby vs Watford Prediction

Derby to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Lost

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