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Match predictions

Portsmouth vs Millwall Prediction

Championship · Sat, Nov 22 - 18:00

Championship logo Championship Won
Portsmouth Portsmouth logo
3-1
Millwall logo Millwall
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 16 Fratton Park
140%Home X23%Draw 236%Away
Match Centre Confidence 40%
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Match forecast

Portsmouth to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 40% ★★☆☆☆
Portsmouth Win40%
Draw23%
Millwall Win36%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 40% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Portsmouth formD W L W W10 points from last five
Millwall formL D W D W8 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.20Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Millwall have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Portsmouth a 30% home win trend and Millwall a 60% away win trend. Portsmouth average 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Millwall at 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Portsmouth 2 wins, Millwall 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 23% draw and 36% away, making Portsmouth to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.

Portsmouth 2 wins, Millwall 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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