Derby vs Leicester Prediction

Reason for tip

Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Leicester have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Leicester a 10% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Leicester at 1.00 scored and 1.10 conceded. Derby 0 wins, Leicester 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 43% home, 27% draw and 29% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.