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Match predictions

Wrexham vs Watford Prediction

Championship · Sat, Dec 13 - 18:00

Championship logo Championship Lost
Wrexham Wrexham logo
2-2
Watford logo Watford
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 21 Racecourse Ground
152%Home X31%Draw 217%Away
Match Centre Confidence 52%
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Match forecast

Wrexham to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 52% ★★★☆☆
Wrexham Win52%
Draw31%
Watford Win17%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 52% Final score: 2-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Wrexham formD L W W L7 points from last five
Watford formL L L L L0 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Wrexham have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Watford have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Wrexham a 50% home win trend and Watford a 10% away win trend. Wrexham average 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Watford at 0.70 scored and 2.30 conceded. Wrexham 0 wins, Watford 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 52% home, 31% draw and 17% away, making Wrexham to Win the preferred tip at 52% confidence.

Wrexham 0 wins, Watford 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-2 · Outcome: Draw

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