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Match predictions

Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby Prediction

Championship · Mon, Dec 15 - 23:00

Championship logo Championship Won
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday logo
0-3
Derby logo Derby
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 21 Hillsborough
126%Home X30%Draw 244%Away
Match Centre Confidence 44%
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Match forecast

Derby to Win

Won
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆
Sheffield Wednesday Win26%
Draw30%
Derby Win44%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 79% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 0-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Sheffield Wednesday formW L L D D5 points from last five
Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five
Home/Away strength10% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Sheffield Wednesday have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sheffield Wednesday a 10% home win trend and Derby a 40% away win trend. Sheffield Wednesday average 0.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. Sheffield Wednesday 0 wins, Derby 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 26% home, 30% draw and 44% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

Sheffield Wednesday 0 wins, Derby 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 0-3 · Outcome: Away Win

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