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Match predictions

Watford vs Stoke City Prediction

Championship · Sat, Dec 20 - 18:00

Championship logo Championship Won
Watford Watford logo
1-0
Stoke City logo Stoke City
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 22 Vicarage Road
153%Home X29%Draw 218%Away
Match Centre Confidence 53%
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Match forecast

Watford to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 53% ★★★☆☆
Watford Win53%
Draw29%
Stoke City Win18%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 53% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Watford formL W3 points from last five
Stoke City formL L L L D1 points from last five
Home/Away strength90% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.00 - 1.20Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Watford have won 1 of their last 2 recorded matches, while Stoke City have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Watford a 90% home win trend and Stoke City a 10% away win trend. Watford average 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Stoke City at 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Watford 1 wins, Stoke City 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 53% home, 29% draw and 18% away, making Watford to Win the preferred tip at 53% confidence.

Watford 1 wins, Stoke City 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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