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Match predictions

Derby vs Portsmouth Prediction

Championship · Sat, Dec 20 - 18:00

Championship logo Championship Lost
Derby logo Derby
vs
Portsmouth logo Portsmouth
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 22 Pride Park Stadium
141%Home X24%Draw 235%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Derby to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Derby Win41%
Draw24%
Portsmouth Win35%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 71% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five
Portsmouth formD W L W W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Portsmouth a 40% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Portsmouth at 1.30 scored and 1.70 conceded. Derby 1 wins, Portsmouth 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 24% draw and 35% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Derby 1 wins, Portsmouth 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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