Leicester vs Derby Prediction

Reason for tip

Leicester have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Leicester a 10% home win trend and Derby a 40% away win trend. Leicester average 1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. Leicester 2 wins, Derby 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 36% home, 30% draw and 35% away, making Leicester to Win the preferred tip at 36% confidence.