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Match predictions

Swansea vs Birmingham Prediction

Championship · Sat, Jan 17 - 20:30

Updated Sat, Aug 8, 2026 00:00 EAT
Championship logo Championship Lost
Swansea Swansea logo
1-1
Birmingham logo Birmingham
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 27 Swansea.com Stadium
139%Home X23%Draw 238%Away
Match Centre Confidence 39%
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Prediction summary

Swansea vs Birmingham key facts

Primary tipSwansea to Win
Predicted score2-1
Kick-offSat, Jan 17 - 20:30
Confidence39%
Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Swansea have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Birmingham have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Swansea a 50% home win trend and Birmingham a 30% away win trend. Swansea average 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Birmingham at 1.10 scored and 0.90 conceded. Swansea 0 wins, Birmingham 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Swansea in position 11, 64 points, 46 matches played, while Birmingham in position 10, 64 points, 46 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 39% home, 23% draw and 38% away, making Swansea to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.

Match forecast

Swansea to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 39% ★★☆☆☆
Swansea Win39%
Draw23%
Birmingham Win38%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 67% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 39% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Swansea formW D W L W10 points from last five
Birmingham formD W W D W11 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.50 - 1.10Average goals scored
Table position11 / 1064 pts vs 64 pts

Reason for tip

Swansea have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Birmingham have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Swansea a 50% home win trend and Birmingham a 30% away win trend. Swansea average 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Birmingham at 1.10 scored and 0.90 conceded. Swansea 0 wins, Birmingham 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Swansea in position 11, 64 points, 46 matches played, while Birmingham in position 10, 64 points, 46 matches played. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 39% home, 23% draw and 38% away, making Swansea to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.

Swansea 0 wins, Birmingham 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

Prediction guide

Swansea vs Birmingham questions

What is the Swansea vs Birmingham prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Swansea to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 39% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Swansea are rated at 39%, the draw at 23%, and Birmingham at 38%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.

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