Match predictions

Charlton vs Derby Prediction

Championship · Tue, Jan 20 - 22:45

Championship Won

Match Centre All Predictions

Charlton Charlton logo

1-2

Derby

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 28 The Valley

131%Home X30%Draw 240%Away

Match Centre Confidence 40%

Match forecast

Derby to Win

Won

Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 40% ★★☆☆☆

Charlton Win31%

Draw30%

Derby Win40%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Derby to Win 40% model probability

Double Chance 12 70% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 75% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 65% model probability

Correct Score 1-2 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Derby Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 75% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Won

Model Confidence Low 40% Final score: 1-2

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Charlton formL W L D L4 points from last five

Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five

Home/Away strength30% / 40%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.00 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Charlton have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Charlton a 30% home win trend and Derby a 40% away win trend. Charlton average 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. Charlton 0 wins, Derby 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 31% home, 30% draw and 40% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.

Charlton 0 wins, Derby 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

Charlton vs Derby Prediction

Derby to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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