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Match predictions

Derby vs West Brom Prediction

Championship · Fri, Jan 23 - 23:00

Championship logo Championship Lost
Derby logo Derby
vs
West Brom logo West Brom
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 29 Pride Park Stadium
142%Home X25%Draw 233%Away
Match Centre Confidence 42%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Derby to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆
Derby Win42%
Draw25%
West Brom Win33%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 60% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five
West Brom formL D W W D8 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while West Brom have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and West Brom a 20% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with West Brom at 1.30 scored and 0.50 conceded. Derby 1 wins, West Brom 0 wins, 2 draws in last 3 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 25% draw and 33% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

Derby 1 wins, West Brom 0 wins, 2 draws in last 3 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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