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Match predictions

Southampton vs Watford Prediction

Championship · Sat, Feb 7 - 15:31

Championship logo Championship Won
Southampton Southampton logo
1-0
Watford logo Watford
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 31 St. Mary's Stadium
163%Home X26%Draw 211%Away
Match Centre Confidence 63%
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Match forecast

Southampton to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-1 Confidence: Medium · 63% ★★★★☆
Southampton Win63%
Draw26%
Watford Win11%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 3-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 63% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Southampton formD D W D L6 points from last five
Watford formL L L L L0 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.10 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Southampton have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Watford have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Southampton a 60% home win trend and Watford a 10% away win trend. Southampton average 2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Watford at 0.70 scored and 2.30 conceded. Southampton 1 wins, Watford 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 63% home, 26% draw and 11% away, making Southampton to Win the preferred tip at 63% confidence.

Southampton 1 wins, Watford 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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