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Match predictions

Derby vs Blackburn Prediction

Championship · Sat, Feb 28 - 15:30

Championship logo Championship Won
Derby logo Derby
vs
Blackburn logo Blackburn
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 35 Pride Park Stadium
147%Home X25%Draw 228%Away
Match Centre Confidence 47%
Prediction partner Brand partner
Match forecast

Derby to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 47% ★★☆☆☆
Derby Win47%
Draw25%
Blackburn Win28%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 78% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 47% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five
Blackburn formL W D L D5 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.30 - 0.80Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Derby have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Blackburn have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Derby a 60% home win trend and Blackburn a 40% away win trend. Derby average 1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Blackburn at 0.80 scored and 0.90 conceded. Derby 2 wins, Blackburn 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 47% home, 25% draw and 28% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 47% confidence.

Derby 2 wins, Blackburn 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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