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Match predictions

Watford vs Wrexham Prediction

Championship · Tue, Mar 17 - 22:45

Championship logo Championship Lost
Watford Watford logo
3-1
Wrexham logo Wrexham
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 36 Vicarage Road
125%Home X32%Draw 243%Away
Match Centre Confidence 43%
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Match forecast

Wrexham to Win

Lost
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆
Watford Win25%
Draw32%
Wrexham Win43%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 3-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Watford formL L L L L0 points from last five
Wrexham formD L W W L7 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Watford have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Wrexham have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Watford a 20% home win trend and Wrexham a 50% away win trend. Watford average 0.70 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Wrexham at 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Watford 1 wins, Wrexham 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 25% home, 32% draw and 43% away, making Wrexham to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.

Watford 1 wins, Wrexham 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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