Norwich vs Derby Prediction
Championship · Tue, Apr 21 - 21:45
Updated Sat, Jul 25, 2026 00:00 EAT
Championship
Won
Derby
Norwich vs Derby key facts
Norwich have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Norwich a 60% home win trend and Derby a 40% away win trend. Norwich average 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. Norwich 1 wins, Derby 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Norwich in position 9, 65 points, 46 matches played, while Derby in position 8, 69 points, 46 matches played. Player-form data gives Norwich an average top-player rating of 10.00 with 3 latest goal involvements, compared with Derby at 7.02 rating and 14 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 43% home, 24% draw and 33% away, making Norwich to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.
Norwich to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Norwich have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Norwich a 60% home win trend and Derby a 40% away win trend. Norwich average 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. Norwich 1 wins, Derby 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Norwich in position 9, 65 points, 46 matches played, while Derby in position 8, 69 points, 46 matches played. Player-form data gives Norwich an average top-player rating of 10.00 with 3 latest goal involvements, compared with Derby at 7.02 rating and 14 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 43% home, 24% draw and 33% away, making Norwich to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.
Norwich 1 wins, Derby 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.Won
Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win
Norwich vs Derby questions
What is the Norwich vs Derby prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Norwich to Win with a predicted score of 2-1 and 43% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Norwich are rated at 43%, the draw at 24%, and Derby at 33%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.