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Match predictions

Middlesbrough vs Watford Prediction

Championship · Sat, Apr 25 - 14:30

Championship logo Championship Won
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough logo
5-1
Watford logo Watford
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 45 Riverside Stadium
150%Home X34%Draw 216%Away
Match Centre Confidence 50%
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Match forecast

Middlesbrough to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 50% ★★☆☆☆
Middlesbrough Win50%
Draw34%
Watford Win16%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 5-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 50% Final score: 5-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Middlesbrough formL L D D W5 points from last five
Watford formL L L L L0 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Middlesbrough have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Watford have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Middlesbrough a 30% home win trend and Watford a 10% away win trend. Middlesbrough average 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Watford at 0.70 scored and 2.30 conceded. Middlesbrough 1 wins, Watford 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 50% home, 34% draw and 16% away, making Middlesbrough to Win the preferred tip at 50% confidence.

Middlesbrough 1 wins, Watford 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 5-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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