Match predictions

QPR vs Derby Prediction

Championship · Sat, Apr 25 - 17:00

Championship Won

Match Centre All Predictions

QPR

2-3

Derby

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 45 Loftus Road Stadium

127%Home X30%Draw 244%Away

Match Centre Confidence 44%

Match forecast

Derby to Win

Won

Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 44% ★★☆☆☆

QPR Win27%

Draw30%

Derby Win44%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Derby to Win 44% model probability

Double Chance X2 73% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% model probability

Correct Score 1-2 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score No clear edge Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-3 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 44% Final score: 2-3

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

QPR formL L L L D1 points from last five

Derby formL W L W L6 points from last five

Home/Away strength30% / 40%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.50 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

QPR have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Derby have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives QPR a 30% home win trend and Derby a 40% away win trend. QPR average 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Derby at 1.30 scored and 1.20 conceded. QPR 0 wins, Derby 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 27% home, 30% draw and 44% away, making Derby to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.

QPR 0 wins, Derby 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-3 · Outcome: Away Win

QPR vs Derby Prediction

Derby to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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