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Match predictions

Stoke City vs Portsmouth Prediction

Championship · Sat, Apr 25 - 17:00

Championship logo Championship Won
Stoke City Stoke City logo
1-3
Portsmouth logo Portsmouth
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 45 bet365 Stadium
126%Home X28%Draw 246%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
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Match forecast

Portsmouth to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
Stoke City Win26%
Draw28%
Portsmouth Win46%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 1-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Stoke City formL L L L D1 points from last five
Portsmouth formD W L W W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.20 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Stoke City have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Portsmouth have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Stoke City a 30% home win trend and Portsmouth a 40% away win trend. Stoke City average 1.20 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Portsmouth at 1.30 scored and 1.70 conceded. Stoke City 1 wins, Portsmouth 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 26% home, 28% draw and 46% away, making Portsmouth to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.

Stoke City 1 wins, Portsmouth 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-3 · Outcome: Away Win

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