Middlesbrough vs Southampton Prediction
Championship · Sat, May 9 - 14:30
Updated Fri, Jul 24, 2026 00:00 EATMiddlesbrough vs Southampton key facts
Middlesbrough have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Southampton have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Middlesbrough a 30% home win trend and Southampton a 70% away win trend. Middlesbrough average 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Southampton at 2.10 scored and 1.10 conceded. Middlesbrough 1 wins, Southampton 0 wins, 3 draws in last 4 meetings. The table context has Middlesbrough in position 5, 80 points, 46 matches played, while Southampton in position 4, 80 points, 46 matches played. Player-form data gives Middlesbrough an average top-player rating of 6.92 with 39 latest goal involvements, compared with Southampton at 6.79 rating and 15 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 24% draw and 39% away, making Southampton to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.
Southampton to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Middlesbrough have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Southampton have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Middlesbrough a 30% home win trend and Southampton a 70% away win trend. Middlesbrough average 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Southampton at 2.10 scored and 1.10 conceded. Middlesbrough 1 wins, Southampton 0 wins, 3 draws in last 4 meetings. The table context has Middlesbrough in position 5, 80 points, 46 matches played, while Southampton in position 4, 80 points, 46 matches played. Player-form data gives Middlesbrough an average top-player rating of 6.92 with 39 latest goal involvements, compared with Southampton at 6.79 rating and 15 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 24% draw and 39% away, making Southampton to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.
Middlesbrough 1 wins, Southampton 0 wins, 3 draws in last 4 meetings.Lost
Actual result: 0-0 · Outcome: Draw
Middlesbrough vs Southampton questions
What is the Middlesbrough vs Southampton prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Southampton to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 39% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Middlesbrough are rated at 37%, the draw at 24%, and Southampton at 39%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.