Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction

Reason for tip

Manchester City have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Manchester City a 70% home win trend and Aston Villa a 40% away win trend. Manchester City average 2.00 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Aston Villa at 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Manchester City 0 wins, Aston Villa 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 19% draw and 40% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.