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Match predictions

Al Najma vs NEOM Prediction

Saudi Pro League · Sat, Apr 11 - 19:00

Saudi Pro League logo Saudi Pro League Won
Al Najma Al Najma logo
2-1
NEOM logo NEOM
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 28 King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
135%Home X31%Draw 234%Away
Match Centre Confidence 35%
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Match forecast

Al Najma to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 35% ★★☆☆☆
Al Najma Win35%
Draw31%
NEOM Win34%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 35% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Al Najma formW L D D L5 points from last five
NEOM formD L W D D6 points from last five
Home/Away strength30% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.00 - 1.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Al Najma have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while NEOM have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Al Najma a 30% home win trend and NEOM a 20% away win trend. Al Najma average 1.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with NEOM at 1.40 scored and 1.50 conceded. Al Najma 1 wins, NEOM 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 35% home, 31% draw and 34% away, making Al Najma to Win the preferred tip at 35% confidence.

Al Najma 1 wins, NEOM 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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