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Match predictions

NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Aug 9 - 17:30

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen logo
5-0
Excelsior logo Excelsior
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 1 Goffertstadion
140%Home X24%Draw 236%Away
Match Centre Confidence 40%
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Match forecast

NEC Nijmegen to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 40% ★★☆☆☆
NEC Nijmegen Win40%
Draw24%
Excelsior Win36%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 75% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 5-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 40% Final score: 5-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

NEC Nijmegen formW L D D D6 points from last five
Excelsior formW D W W D11 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.80 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

NEC Nijmegen have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives NEC Nijmegen a 40% home win trend and Excelsior a 30% away win trend. NEC Nijmegen average 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Excelsior at 1.70 scored and 1.50 conceded. NEC Nijmegen 2 wins, Excelsior 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 24% draw and 36% away, making NEC Nijmegen to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.

NEC Nijmegen 2 wins, Excelsior 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 5-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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