Match predictions

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, Aug 10 - 15:30

Eredivisie Won

Match Centre All Predictions

AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar logo

4-1

Groningen

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 1 AFAS Stadion

142%Home X26%Draw 232%Away

Match Centre Confidence 42%

Match forecast

AZ Alkmaar to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆

AZ Alkmaar Win42%

Draw26%

Groningen Win32%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner AZ Alkmaar to Win 42% model probability

Double Chance 12 74% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 50% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score AZ Alkmaar Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 4-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 4-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

AZ Alkmaar formD D D D D5 points from last five

Groningen formL W W L L6 points from last five

Home/Away strength60% / 30%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.70 - 1.60Average goals scored

Reason for tip

AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Groningen have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% home win trend and Groningen a 30% away win trend. AZ Alkmaar average 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Groningen at 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, Groningen 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 26% draw and 32% away, making AZ Alkmaar to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, Groningen 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 4-1 · Outcome: Home Win

AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen Prediction

AZ Alkmaar to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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