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Match predictions

NAC Breda vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, Aug 31 - 17:45

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
NAC Breda NAC Breda logo
0-1
AZ Alkmaar logo AZ Alkmaar
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 4 Rat Verlegh Stadion
130%Home X32%Draw 238%Away
Match Centre Confidence 38%
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Match forecast

AZ Alkmaar to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 38% ★★☆☆☆
NAC Breda Win30%
Draw32%
AZ Alkmaar Win38%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 38% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

NAC Breda formD W L L D5 points from last five
AZ Alkmaar formD D D D D5 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.00 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

NAC Breda have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives NAC Breda a 20% home win trend and AZ Alkmaar a 30% away win trend. NAC Breda average 1.00 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with AZ Alkmaar at 1.70 scored and 1.40 conceded. NAC Breda 0 wins, AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 30% home, 32% draw and 38% away, making AZ Alkmaar to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.

NAC Breda 0 wins, AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

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