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Match predictions

NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Sep 13 - 19:45

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen logo
3-5
PSV Eindhoven logo PSV Eindhoven
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 5 Goffertstadion
133%Home X20%Draw 247%Away
Match Centre Confidence 47%
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Match forecast

PSV Eindhoven to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 47% ★★☆☆☆
NEC Nijmegen Win33%
Draw20%
PSV Eindhoven Win47%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 8 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 78% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-5 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 47% Final score: 3-5
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

NEC Nijmegen formW L D D D6 points from last five
PSV Eindhoven formW W D W W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.80 - 3.10Average goals scored

Reason for tip

NEC Nijmegen have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while PSV Eindhoven have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives NEC Nijmegen a 40% home win trend and PSV Eindhoven a 60% away win trend. NEC Nijmegen average 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with PSV Eindhoven at 3.10 scored and 1.60 conceded. NEC Nijmegen 1 wins, PSV Eindhoven 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 33% home, 20% draw and 47% away, making PSV Eindhoven to Win the preferred tip at 47% confidence.

NEC Nijmegen 1 wins, PSV Eindhoven 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-5 · Outcome: Away Win

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