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Match predictions

Heracles vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, Sep 14 - 15:30

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
Heracles Heracles logo
1-2
AZ Alkmaar logo AZ Alkmaar
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 5 Asito Stadium
118%Home X34%Draw 248%Away
Match Centre Confidence 48%
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Match forecast

AZ Alkmaar to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 48% ★★☆☆☆
Heracles Win18%
Draw34%
AZ Alkmaar Win48%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 48% Final score: 1-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Heracles formL L L L L0 points from last five
AZ Alkmaar formD D D D D5 points from last five
Home/Away strength10% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.40 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Heracles have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Heracles a 10% home win trend and AZ Alkmaar a 30% away win trend. Heracles average 0.40 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with AZ Alkmaar at 1.70 scored and 1.40 conceded. Heracles 0 wins, AZ Alkmaar 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 18% home, 34% draw and 48% away, making AZ Alkmaar to Win the preferred tip at 48% confidence.

Heracles 0 wins, AZ Alkmaar 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

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