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Match predictions

AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Eredivisie · Wed, Sep 24 - 21:00

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Lost
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar logo
2-2
PEC Zwolle logo PEC Zwolle
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 3 AFAS Stadion
148%Home X29%Draw 222%Away
Match Centre Confidence 48%
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Match forecast

AZ Alkmaar to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 48% ★★☆☆☆
AZ Alkmaar Win48%
Draw29%
PEC Zwolle Win22%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 48% Final score: 2-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

AZ Alkmaar formD D D D D5 points from last five
PEC Zwolle formL L W L D4 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while PEC Zwolle have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% home win trend and PEC Zwolle a 4% away win trend. AZ Alkmaar average 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with PEC Zwolle at 1.00 scored and 2.10 conceded. AZ Alkmaar 0 wins, PEC Zwolle 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 48% home, 29% draw and 22% away, making AZ Alkmaar to Win the preferred tip at 48% confidence.

AZ Alkmaar 0 wins, PEC Zwolle 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-2 · Outcome: Draw

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