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Match predictions

Ajax vs NAC Breda Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Sep 27 - 17:30

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
Ajax Ajax logo
2-1
NAC Breda logo NAC Breda
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 7 Kras Stadion
154%Home X26%Draw 220%Away
Match Centre Confidence 54%
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Match forecast

Ajax to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 54% ★★★☆☆
Ajax Win54%
Draw26%
NAC Breda Win20%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 81% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 54% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Ajax formD W D L D6 points from last five
NAC Breda formD W L L D5 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.60 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Ajax have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while NAC Breda have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Ajax a 40% home win trend and NAC Breda a 10% away win trend. Ajax average 1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with NAC Breda at 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Ajax 2 wins, NAC Breda 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 54% home, 26% draw and 20% away, making Ajax to Win the preferred tip at 54% confidence.

Ajax 2 wins, NAC Breda 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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