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Match predictions

Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Sep 27 - 21:00

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
Excelsior Excelsior logo
1-2
PSV Eindhoven logo PSV Eindhoven
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 7 Stadion Woudestein
133%Home X19%Draw 248%Away
Match Centre Confidence 48%
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Match forecast

PSV Eindhoven to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 48% ★★☆☆☆
Excelsior Win33%
Draw19%
PSV Eindhoven Win48%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 78% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 48% Final score: 1-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Excelsior formW D W W D11 points from last five
PSV Eindhoven formW W D W W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 3.10Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while PSV Eindhoven have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Excelsior a 20% home win trend and PSV Eindhoven a 60% away win trend. Excelsior average 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with PSV Eindhoven at 3.10 scored and 1.60 conceded. Excelsior 0 wins, PSV Eindhoven 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 33% home, 19% draw and 48% away, making PSV Eindhoven to Win the preferred tip at 48% confidence.

Excelsior 0 wins, PSV Eindhoven 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

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