Match predictions

NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, Sep 28 - 13:15

Eredivisie Won

Match Centre All Predictions

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen logo

2-1

AZ Alkmaar

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 7 Goffertstadion

145%Home X26%Draw 228%Away

Match Centre Confidence 45%

Match forecast

NEC Nijmegen to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 45% ★★☆☆☆

NEC Nijmegen Win45%

Draw26%

AZ Alkmaar Win28%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner NEC Nijmegen to Win 45% model probability

Double Chance 12 74% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 60% model probability

Correct Score 2-1 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score NEC Nijmegen Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Won

Model Confidence Low 45% Final score: 2-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

NEC Nijmegen formW L D D D6 points from last five

AZ Alkmaar formD D D D D5 points from last five

Home/Away strength40% / 30%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.80 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

NEC Nijmegen have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives NEC Nijmegen a 40% home win trend and AZ Alkmaar a 30% away win trend. NEC Nijmegen average 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with AZ Alkmaar at 1.70 scored and 1.40 conceded. NEC Nijmegen 2 wins, AZ Alkmaar 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 45% home, 26% draw and 28% away, making NEC Nijmegen to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.

NEC Nijmegen 2 wins, AZ Alkmaar 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

NEC Nijmegen vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

NEC Nijmegen to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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